Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.879937 1.017849 1.167066 1.340107 1.534830 1.746747 1.994389
2024-12-15 0.699754 0.896477 1.127932 1.418466 1.771355 2.183924 2.700418
2024-12-22 0.566895 0.793345 1.079513 1.463227 1.959200 2.573113 3.384170
2024-12-29 0.489546 0.739076 1.074107 1.548677 2.194019 3.030232 4.182940
2025-01-05 0.404069 0.655438 1.012629 1.544787 2.302456 3.325127 4.788632
2025-01-12 0.334666 0.580825 0.949584 1.524998 2.378960 3.574325 5.342333
2025-01-19 0.281811 0.521218 0.897943 1.511295 2.456409 3.823163 5.904610
2025-01-26 0.248119 0.486196 0.877772 1.539797 2.594082 4.162410 6.611631
2025-02-02 0.218196 0.452197 0.853778 1.557450 2.713260 4.478397 7.299642
2025-02-09 0.191565 0.419384 0.826813 1.565649 2.815362 4.771667 7.966902
2025-02-16 0.173312 0.399121 0.818473 1.602913 2.965125 5.144911 8.773883
2025-02-23 0.154448 0.374393 0.798628 1.617083 3.075680 5.460395 9.505004
2025-03-02 0.130082 0.334595 0.746571 1.569675 3.079862 5.608721 9.986911
2025-03-09 0.119467 0.322696 0.746873 1.618675 3.255937 6.050260 10.967314
2025-03-16 0.108628 0.308347 0.740346 1.653610 3.408717 6.460664 11.916974
2025-03-23 0.103760 0.307239 0.760839 1.742670 3.666024 7.062555 13.214675
2025-03-30 0.091524 0.285695 0.735021 1.736212 3.743811 7.356047 14.002662
2025-04-06 0.079722 0.262836 0.703135 1.713539 3.787836 7.590618 14.698370
2025-04-13 0.069979 0.243415 0.676262 1.698099 3.843467 7.846953 15.441245
2025-04-20 0.064202 0.233965 0.671447 1.729502 3.993544 8.282119 16.518649
2025-04-27 0.058363 0.223114 0.661786 1.748974 4.120199 8.679378 17.544261
2025-05-04 0.052627 0.211332 0.648209 1.758020 4.225407 9.040713 18.519069
2025-05-11 0.048944 0.205317 0.648582 1.799187 4.400176 9.542008 19.770423